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Institute of New Europe Institute of New Europe
  • About
  • Publications
      • Publications

        The primary categories of materials published by the Institute as part of its research and analytical activities.

      • SEE ALL PUBLICATIONS

      • Analyses
        Daily commentary and analysis on international issues provided by our experts and analysts
      • Reports
        Comprehensive thematic studies on international relations and socio-political issues
      • Video
        Recordings of expert debates and series of video podcasts created by our team and experts
      • Maps
        Selection of maps depicting international alliances and foreign visits of key politicians
  • Programmes
      • Programmes

        The main areas of research and publication activities at the Institute with separate teams of experts, functioning under the supervision of the head of a particular programme.

      • WEBSITE OF THE THREE SEAS PROJECT

      • Europe
        Analyses and commentaries on European integration and the place of Europe on the political and economic map of the world
      • Security
        Studies in the field of international and internal security of individual states, with particular emphasis on the role of NATO
      • Indo-Pacific
        An overview of the political and economic situation in the region, the status of the U.S.-China rivalry, and the EU’s policy towards China
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Feb 27
Domestic policy, Italy, Publications

Italy’s March 2026 Constitutional Referendum on Justice Reform. What Is Changing and Why It Matters

February 27, 2026

On 22 and 23 March 2026, Italians will vote in a confirmatory constitutional referendum on a reform that redesigns the governance of the judiciary. The subject is technical, but the implications are institutional. Who manages careers and senior appointments. How discipline is enforced when misconduct is alleged. How independence is protected while public confidence is maintained.

The referendum follows the constitutional procedure for amendments approved by Parliament without the two thirds majorities that would have avoided a popular confirmation. In this kind of referendum there is no turnout quorum. A simple majority of valid votes decides.

What the reform changes

The text submitted to voters introduces three structural changes.

First, it strengthens the separation between the careers of judges and public prosecutors. Italy has traditionally placed both within the same professional order of magistrates, a model defended as a shield for independence. The reform moves toward a clearer institutional distinction. Supporters argue that neutrality is easier to guarantee, and easier to explain to citizens, when judging and prosecutorial careers are structurally separate. Opponents counter that prosecutors could become more exposed to political pressure over time, even if formal safeguards remain.

Second, it replaces today’s single High Council of the Judiciary, the CSM, with two councils, one for judges and one for prosecutors, each chaired by the President of the Republic. A central innovation is the selection method. Instead of competitive elections, many members would be chosen by sortition from eligible pools. The declared intention is to reduce the influence of organised internal groupings and negotiated slates, while keeping governance within a constitutional model of self administration rather than direct government control.

Third, it creates a new High Disciplinary Court and moves disciplinary adjudication away from the councils. The rationale is separation of functions. The bodies that manage careers and appointments would no longer be the same bodies that adjudicate disciplinary responsibility. The practical effects will depend on implementing legislation, but the constitutional direction is explicit.

The current system, the CSM, and the role of correnti

The Constitution assigns the CSM a central role in safeguarding judicial autonomy. It is chaired by the President of the Republic and includes senior High Court figures as members by right. The remaining members are selected through a mixed formula, with a majority coming from within the magistracy and a minority chosen by Parliament from senior legal academics and lawyers.

In practice, this representative model has long been shaped by organised currents, commonly referred to as correnti. They are not formal parties, but they do operate as structured Para political networks that endorse candidates and compete for influence, especially in elections and in the distribution of key posts. For many citizens this dimension remains abstract until a controversy reveals it. This is why the reform’s promise to reduce the weight of internal electoral competition has become politically salient.

What the Yes and No camps argue

Supporters of a Yes vote present the reform as a credibility and governance measure. They argue that separating careers clarifies roles in criminal justice and reinforces the perception of judicial impartiality. They also contend that sortition can reduce the leverage of correnti in appointments, and that a dedicated disciplinary court would make accountability more credible because it is institutionally separate from career management. Opponents respond that the current constitutional design, including the placement of prosecutors within the magistracy, is precisely what shields prosecutorial independence, and that separating careers risks weakening that shield in the longer term. They also question whether sortition improves governance, warning it can dilute expertise and accountability, and they stress that citizens experience justice primarily through speed and predictability, outcomes that constitutional redesign does not automatically deliver.

The referendum debate repeatedly returns to discipline, because accountability is where public trust is most fragile. Reform supporters often argue that the current framework escalates too rarely, and that this weakens the legitimacy of self governance. The most authoritative figures cited in this discussion come from the annual report of the Prosecutor General at the Court of Cassation. In its report on activity during 2025, the office notes that Courts of Appeal transmitted 14,929 decisions under the mechanism linked to excessive length of proceedings, yet only 2 of those transmissions led to the opening of pre-disciplinary proceedings. The same report indicates that, across pre-disciplinary matters in 2025, only 2.5 percent resulted in the opening of a formal disciplinary action, and that 76 disciplinary actions were initiated in total that year. Critics reply that low rates may reflect strict legal thresholds and the filtering of weak complaints. Still, the figures help explain why the reform frames discipline as a constitutional design problem rather than a purely managerial one.

Political stakes and consequences

Italian constitutional referendums can have political effects that extend beyond the legal text. The most significant precedent remains 4 December 2016, when Prime Minister Matteo Renzi personalised the referendum campaign, lost the vote, and resigned shortly after. The defeat produced an immediate government shock and accelerated wider political realignment.

The March 2026 referendum may still be interpreted as a signal about the country’s political climate, particularly given the visible tension between parts of the government and segments of the magistracy. Yet there is a notable difference in strategy. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and senior figures in her political camp have insisted that the referendum is a vote on a constitutional reform, not a plebiscite on the government. This choice reduces the likelihood of an immediate resignation style outcome, even if a defeat would still carry political costs and shape the next phase of the justice reform agenda.

Conclusion

The referendum is a choice between two approaches to protecting independence and restoring confidence. A No vote defends the existing constitutional balance and argues for improvements through ordinary reforms. A Yes vote aims to strengthen credibility through clearer separation of roles, reduced scope for internal factional gatekeeping, and a more visibly distinct disciplinary architecture. Whatever the result, Italy will still face the challenge of delivering faster and more predictable justice. The referendum cannot solve that alone, but it can determine the institutional framework within which the next chapter of reform will unfold.

References

  1. Gazzetta Ufficiale della Repubblica Italiana, constitutional law on the judicial order and the disciplinary court, 30 October 2025. (Gazzetta Ufficiale)
  2. Gazzetta Ufficiale della Repubblica Italiana, decree clarifying the referendum question, 7 February 2026. (Gazzetta Ufficiale)
  3. Ministero dell’Interno, institutional information page on the March 2026 confirmatory referendum. (interno.gov.it)
  4. Senato della Repubblica, Constitution of the Italian Republic, Article 104, composition and role of the CSM. (Prefettura)
  5. Reuters, reporting and explainer coverage on the March 2026 justice reform referendum and campaign arguments. (Reuters)
  6. Prosecutor General at the Court of Cassation, annual report on the administration of justice in 2025, published January 2026. (cortedicassazione.it)
  7. Sky TG24, interview and reporting on the government’s framing of the referendum as not a plebiscite. (Sky TG24)
  8. The Guardian, reporting on the 2016 constitutional referendum defeat and Matteo Renzi’s resignation. (The Guardian)

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Giuseppe Adamo Polish-Italian author based in Warsaw. He holds a degree in European Studies from the Catholic University of Lublin and International Relations from the University of Warsaw. He has worked for the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and appeared as a commentator on international affairs in various TV programs. His main interests include diplomacy, security, organized crime and terrorism.

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Giuseppe Adamo Polish-Italian author based in Warsaw. He holds a degree in European Studies from the Catholic University of Lublin and International Relations from the University of Warsaw. He has worked for the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and appeared as a commentator on international affairs in various TV programs. His main interests include diplomacy, security, organized crime and terrorism.
Program Europa tworzą:

Marcin Chruściel

Dyrektor programu. Absolwent studiów doktoranckich z zakresu nauk o polityce na Uniwersytecie Wrocławskim, magister stosunków międzynarodowych i europeistyki Uniwersytetu Jagiellońskiego. Prezes Zarządu Instytutu Nowej Europy.

dr Artur Bartoszewicz

Przewodniczący Rady Programowej Instytutu Nowej Europy. Doktor nauk ekonomicznych Szkoły Głównej Handlowej. Ekspert w dziedzinie polityki publicznej, w tym m. in. strategii państwa i gospodarki.

Michał Banasiak

Specjalizuje się w relacjach sportu i polityki. Autor analiz, komentarzy i wywiadów z zakresu dyplomacji sportowej i polityki międzynarodowej. Były dziennikarz Polsat News i wysłannik redakcji zagranicznej Telewizji Polskiej.

Maciej Pawłowski

Ekspert ds. migracji, gospodarki i polityki państw basenu Morza Śródziemnego. W latach 2018-2020 Analityk PISM ds. Południowej Europy. Autor publikacji w polskiej i zagranicznej prasie na temat Hiszpanii, Włoch, Grecji, Egiptu i państw Magrebu. Od września 2020 r. mieszka w północnej Afryce (Egipt, Algieria).

Jędrzej Błaszczak

Absolwent studiów prawniczych Uniwersytetu Śląskiego w Katowicach. Jego zainteresowania badawcze koncentrują się na Inicjatywie Trójmorza i polityce w Bułgarii. Doświadczenie zdobywał w European Foundation of Human Rights w Wilnie, Center for the Study of Democracy w Sofii i polskich placówkach dyplomatycznych w Teheranie i Tbilisi.

Program Bezpieczeństwo tworzą:

dr Aleksander Olech

Dyrektor programu. Wykładowca na Baltic Defence College, absolwent Europejskiej Akademii Dyplomacji oraz Akademii Sztuki Wojennej. Jego główne zainteresowania badawcze to terroryzm, bezpieczeństwo w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej oraz rola NATO i UE w środowisku zagrożeń hybrydowych.

dr Agnieszka Rogozińska

Członek Rady Programowej Instytutu Nowej Europy. Doktor nauk społecznych w dyscyplinie nauki o polityce. Zainteresowania badawcze koncentruje na problematyce bezpieczeństwa euroatlantyckiego, instytucjonalnym wymiarze bezpieczeństwa i współczesnych zagrożeniach.

Aleksy Borówka

Doktorant na Wydziale Nauk Społecznych Uniwersytetu Wrocławskiego, Przewodniczący Krajowej Reprezentacji Doktorantów w kadencji 2020. Autor kilkunastu prac naukowych, poświęconych naukom o bezpieczeństwie, naukom o polityce i administracji oraz stosunkom międzynarodowym. Laureat I, II oraz III Międzynarodowej Olimpiady Geopolitycznej.

Karolina Siekierka

Absolwentka Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego na kierunku stosunki międzynarodowe, specjalizacji Bezpieczeństwo i Studia Strategiczne. Jej zainteresowania badawcze obejmują politykę zagraniczną i wewnętrzną Francji, prawa człowieka oraz konflikty zbrojne.

Stanisław Waszczykowski

Podoficer rezerwy, student studiów magisterskich na kierunku Bezpieczeństwo Międzynarodowe i Dyplomacja na Akademii Sztuki Wojennej, były praktykant w BBN. Jego zainteresowania badawcze obejmują m.in. operacje pokojowe ONZ oraz bezpieczeństwo Ukrainy.

Leon Pińczak

Student studiów drugiego stopnia na Uniwersytecie Warszawskim na kierunku stosunki międzynarodowe. Dziennikarz polskojęzycznej redakcji Biełsatu. Zawodowo zajmuje się obszarem postsowieckim, rosyjską polityką wewnętrzną i doktrynami FR. Biegle włada językiem rosyjskim.

Program Indo-Pacyfik tworzą:

Łukasz Kobierski

Dyrektor programu. Współzałożyciel INE oraz prezes zarządu w latach 2019-2021. Stypendysta szkoleń z zakresu bezpieczeństwa na Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security w Waszyngtonie, ekspert od stosunków międzynarodowych. Absolwent Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego oraz Uniwersytetu Mikołaja Kopernika. Wiceprezes Zarządu INE.

dr Joanna Siekiera

Prawnik międzynarodowy, doktor nauk społecznych, adiunkt na Wydziale Prawa Uniwersytetu w Bergen w Norwegii. Była stypendystką rządu Nowej Zelandii na Uniwersytecie Victorii w Wellington, niemieckiego Institute of Cultural Diplomacy, a także francuskiego Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques.

Paweł Paszak

Absolwent stosunków międzynarodowych (spec. Wschodnioazjatycka) na Uniwersytecie Warszawskim oraz stypendysta University of Kent (W. Brytania) i Hainan University (ChRL). Doktorant UW i Akademii Sztuki Wojennej. Jego zainteresowania badawcze obejmują politykę zagraniczną ChRL oraz strategiczną rywalizację Chiny-USA.

Jakub Graca

Magister stosunków międzynarodowych na Uniwersytecie Jagiellońskim; studiował także filologię orientalną (specjalność: arabistyka). Analityk Centrum Inicjatyw Międzynarodowych (Warszawa) oraz Instytutu Nowej Europy. Zainteresowania badawcze: Stany Zjednoczone (z naciskiem na politykę zagraniczną), relacje transatlantyckie.

Patryk Szczotka

Absolwent filologii dalekowschodniej ze specjalnością chińską na Uniwersytecie Wrocławskim oraz student kierunku double degree China and International Relations na Aalborg University oraz University of International Relations (国际关系学院) w Pekinie. Jego zainteresowania naukowe to relacje polityczne i gospodarcze UE-ChRL oraz dyplomacja.

The programme's team:

Marcin Chruściel

Programme director. Graduate of PhD studies in Political Science at the University of Wroclaw and Master studies in International Relations at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow. President of the Management Board at the Institute of New Europe.

PhD Artur Bartoszewicz

Chairman of the Institute's Programme Board. Doctor of Economic Sciences at the SGH Warsaw School of Economics. Expert in the field of public policy, including state and economic strategies. Expert at the National Centre for Research and Development and the Digital Poland Projects Centre.

Michał Banasiak

He specializes in relationship of sports and politics. Author of analysis, comments and interviews in the field of sports diplomacy and international politics. Former Polsat News and Polish Television’s foreign desk journalist.

Maciej Pawłowski

Expert on migration, economics and politics of Mediterranean countries. In the period of 2018-2020 PISM Analyst on Southern Europe. Author of various articles in Polish and foreign press about Spain, Italy, Greece, Egypt and Maghreb countries. Since September 2020 lives in North Africa (Egypt, Algeria).

Jędrzej Błaszczak

Graduate of Law at the University of Silesia. His research interests focus on the Three Seas Initiative and politics in Bulgaria. He acquired experience at the European Foundation of Human Rights in Vilnius, the Center for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, and in Polish embassies in Tehran and Tbilisi.

PhD Aleksander Olech

Programme director. Visiting lecturer at the Baltic Defence College, graduate of the European Academy of Diplomacy and War Studies University. His main research interests include terrorism, international cooperation for security in Eastern Europe and the role of NATO and the EU with regard to hybrid threats.

PhD Agnieszka Rogozińska

Member of the Institute's Programme Board. Doctor of Social Sciences in the discipline of Political Science. Editorial secretary of the academic journals "Politics & Security" and "Independence: journal devoted to Poland's recent history". Her research interests focus on security issues.

Aleksy Borówka

PhD candidate at the Faculty of Social Sciences in the University of Wroclaw, the President of the Polish National Associations of PhD Candidates in 2020. The author of dozen of scientific papers, concerning security studies, political science, administration, international relations. Laureate of the I, II and III International Geopolitical Olympiad.

Karolina Siekierka

Graduate of International Relations specializing in Security and Strategic Studies at University of Warsaw. Erasmus student at the Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1) and the Institut d’Etudes Politique de Paris (Sciences Po Paris). Her research areas include human rights, climate change and armed conflicts.

Stanisław Waszczykowski

Reserve non-commissioned officer. Master's degree student in International Security and Diplomacy at the War Studies University in Warsaw, former trainee at the National Security Bureau. His research interests include issues related to UN peacekeeping operations and the security of Ukraine.

Leon Pińczak

A second-degree student at the University of Warsaw, majoring in international relations. A journalist of the Polish language edition of Belsat. Interested in the post-Soviet area, with a particular focus on Russian internal politics and Russian doctrines - foreign, defense and information-cybernetic.

Łukasz Kobierski

Programme director. Deputy President of the Management Board. Scholarship holder at the Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security in Washington and an expert in the field of international relations. Graduate of the University of Warsaw and the Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń

PhD Joanna Siekiera

International lawyer, Doctor of social sciences, postdoctor at the Faculty of Law, University of Bergen, Norway. She was a scholarship holder of the New Zealand government at the Victoria University of Wellington, Institute of Cultural Diplomacy in Germany, Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques in France.

Paweł Paszak

Graduate of International Relations (specialisation in East Asian Studies) from the University of Warsaw and scholarship holder at the University of Kent (UK) and Hainan University (China). PhD candidate at the University of Warsaw and the War Studies University. His research areas include the foreign policy of China and the strategic rivalry between China and the US in the Indo-Pacific.

Jakub Graca

Master of International Relations at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow. He also studied Arabic therein. An analyst at the Center for International Initiatives (Warsaw) and the Institute of New Europe. Research interests: United States (mainly foreign policy), transatlantic relations.

Patryk Szczotka

A graduate of Far Eastern Philology with a specialization in China Studies at the University of Wroclaw and a student of a double degree “China and International Relations” at Aalborg University and University of International Relations (国际关系学院) in Beijing. His research interests include EU-China political and economic relations, as well as diplomacy.

Three Seas Think Tanks Hub is a platform of cooperation among different think tanks based in 3SI member countries. Their common goal is to strengthen public debate and understanding of the Three Seas region seen from the political, economic and security perspective. The project aims at exchanging ideas, research and publications on the region’s potential and challenges.

Members

The Baltic Security Foundation (Latvia)

The BSF promotes the security and defense of the Baltic Sea region. It gathers security experts from the region and beyond, provides a platform for discussion and research, promotes solutions that lead to stronger regional security in the military and other areas.

The Institute for Politics and Society (Czech Republic)

The Institute analyses important economic, political, and social areas that affect today’s society. The mission of the Institute is to cultivate the Czech political and public sphere through professional and open discussion.

Nézöpont Institute (Hungary)

The Institute aims at improving Hungarian public life and public discourse by providing real data, facts and opinions based on those. Its primary focus points are Hungarian youth, media policy and Central European cooperation.

The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (Austria)

The wiiw is one of the principal centres for research on Central, East and Southeast Europe with 50 years of experience. Over the years, the Institute has broadened its expertise, increasing its regional coverage – to European integration, the countries of Wider Europe and selected issues of the global economy.

The International Institute for Peace (Austria)

The Institute strives to address the most topical issues of the day and promote dialogue, public engagement, and a common understanding to ensure a holistic approach to conflict resolution and a durable peace. The IIP functions as a platform to promote peace and non-violent conflict resolution across the world.

The Institute for Regional and International Studies (Bulgaria)

The IRIS initiates, develops and implements civic strategies for democratic politics at the national, regional and international level. The Institute promotes the values of democracy, civil society, freedom and respect for law and assists the process of deepening Bulgarian integration in NATO and the EU.

The European Institute of Romania

EIR is a public institution whose mission is to provide expertise in the field of European Affairs to the public administration, the business community, the social partners and the civil society. EIR’s activity is focused on four key domains: research, training, communication, translation of the EHRC case-law.

The Institute of New Europe (Poland)

The Institute is an advisory and analytical non-governmental organisation active in the fields of international politics, international security and economics. The Institute supports policy-makers by providing them with expert opinions, as well as creating a platform for academics, publicists, and commentators to exchange ideas.

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