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Institute of New Europe Institute of New Europe
  • About
  • Publications
      • Publications

        The primary categories of materials published by the Institute as part of its research and analytical activities.

      • SEE ALL PUBLICATIONS

      • Analyses
        Daily commentary and analysis on international issues provided by our experts and analysts
      • Reports
        Comprehensive thematic studies on international relations and socio-political issues
      • Video
        Recordings of expert debates and series of video podcasts created by our team and experts
      • Maps
        Selection of maps depicting international alliances and foreign visits of key politicians
  • Programmes
      • Programmes

        The main areas of research and publication activities at the Institute with separate teams of experts, functioning under the supervision of the head of a particular programme.

      • WEBSITE OF THE THREE SEAS PROJECT

      • Europe
        Analyses and commentaries on European integration and the place of Europe on the political and economic map of the world
      • Security
        Studies in the field of international and internal security of individual states, with particular emphasis on the role of NATO
      • Indo-Pacific
        An overview of the political and economic situation in the region, the status of the U.S.-China rivalry, and the EU’s policy towards China
      • Three Seas Think Tanks Hub
        Analyses and studies of the Three Seas Initiative, taking into account the perspectives of the participating states
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Jul 21
Analysis, European Union, Migrant crisis, Publications

Morocco: Will a tunnel connect the EU with Africa?

July 21, 2025

Bartosz Mirowski, Giuseppe Adamo, Maciej Pawłowski

  • Morocco aims for close cooperation with the EU, including through the expansion of infrastructure, energy links, and economic collaboration with Spain, France, and Portugal.
  • Cooperation and potential integration with the EU are intended to help Morocco achieve its political goals, including gaining EU institutional support in disputes with Algeria. A key role is expected to be played by the co-hosting of the 2030 FIFA World Cup.
  • The construction of a tunnel connecting Spain with Morocco could significantly increase the flow of goods and people between Europe and Africa.

Relations with Europe

Morocco is the only country in Africa that has expressed aspirations to participate in European integration. In 1984, King Hassan II officially applied for accession to the European Communities, but in 1987 the application was rejected. With support from France and Spain, the so-called Barcelona Process was established in 1995, setting out broad principles for partnership between the EU and its Mediterranean neighborhood, including Morocco. Since 2008, the country has held the status of an “advanced partner” of the EU, allowing it to receive EU funds in exchange for implementing European standards in areas like human rights, freedom of speech, and the rule of law. Under the NDICI–Global Europe instrument for 2021–2027, the EU allocated €931 million in bilateral support for Morocco for the 2021–2024 period.

Morocco is strengthening its position as a key trade and investment partner of the EU in North Africa. The Union is the Kingdom’s main trade partner, accounting for over half of its trade, and the largest foreign investor in the country. In 2024, exports from the EU reached €35.3 billion (up 6.5% year-on-year), and imports €25.3 billion (up 7.5% year-on-year). Most French car brands are produced in the Tangier economic zone, and the banking sector is dominated by Spanish banks.

Morocco is an important but challenging EU partner in combatting illegal migration. In 1992, a Spanish-Moroccan migration agreement was signed to address the issue, although it only came into force in 2012. It provides for the expulsion of people who illegally cross the Spanish maritime border back to Moroccan territory. Between 2009 and 2024, nearly 40,000 Moroccan citizens illegally crossed the EU border. In the same period, over 350,000 migrants from various countries reached the EU via routes running through Morocco: the Western Mediterranean route (233,500) and the West African route to the Canary Islands (128,100).

A major event bringing Morocco closer to the EU is the 2030 FIFA World Cup, with matches to be held at 3 stadiums in South America, 1 in Portugal, 6 in Spain, and 6 in Morocco. The event is expected to boost tourism and improve Morocco’s international image.

Cooperation with the EU, especially with France, serves Morocco in its ambition to restore its pre-colonial borders. To this end, it has annexed part of Western Sahara and seeks international recognition of its sovereignty there. Algeria, which supports the Polisario Front, opposes this. Recognition of Moroccan sovereignty could open the door to claims over Algeria’s Tindouf and Tlemcen regions, the Spanish cities of Ceuta and Melilla, the Canary Islands, and parts of Mauritania.

A problem in Morocco-EU relations is the 2023 corruption scandal, when Belgian police arrested MEPs who took bribes to lobby for Moroccan interests in the European Parliament.

Energy Connections

Morocco is expanding its energy infrastructure by modernizing gas pipelines and developing renewable energy sources (RES). A key element is the Maghreb–Europe Gas Pipeline (MEG), launched in 1996. Initially, it transported Algerian gas through Morocco and Gibraltar to Spain and Portugal. After the contract ended in 2021, Morocco began repurposing the infrastructure. Plans include connecting the LNG terminal in Nador to MEG, extending pipelines to Mohammedia and Kenitra, and using MEG for reverse-flow gas transport. Shell signed a 12-year deal to supply 0.5 billion m³ of LNG annually from Spain to Morocco.

Morocco is the only African country connected to the European electricity grid. Two undersea HVDC cables with a total capacity of 1.4 GW link it to Spain, and a third cable is planned. The system allows for two-way electricity flows – in 2023, Morocco imported 2.3 TWh and exported 0.5 TWh.

An ambitious project was the Xlinks Morocco–UK Power Project – a 3,800 km HVDC cable with 3.6 GW capacity that was to supply 8% of the UK’s electricity from Moroccan renewables. However, in 2025, the UK withdrew due to high costs and logistical complexity.

In 2023, Morocco generated 42.38 TWh of electricity. The energy mix was dominated by coal (64%), with gas accounting for 10%. By 2030, Morocco aims to raise the share of renewables from 21.7% to 52%. New LNG terminals and energy system stabilization support a smooth transition toward green energy.

For the past 7 years, Morocco has suffered from spring and summer droughts, significantly reducing livestock numbers. As a result, in 2025, King Mohammed VI banned sheep slaughter during Ramadan. Water scarcity hampers livestock farming, agriculture, industry, and mining and negatively affects sanitation. No solution has yet been found to export water from the EU to Morocco. Instead, the country is modernizing 17 existing desalination plants. Four more are under construction, and nine are planned – targeting a total of 1.7 billion m³/year by 2030.

Infrastructure Connections

The Strait of Gibraltar is a natural bottleneck between Europe and Africa. The idea of connecting the continents dates back to the 19th century. Spain is conducting a feasibility study for an undersea railway tunnel about 60 km long, connecting Punta Paloma and Tangier. The project envisions two railway tunnels totaling 38.5 km, with 27.7 km underwater, forming a key link in the Euro-Mediterranean network. In 2025, €1.6 million was allocated for the study. Initially, completion was planned before the 2030 World Cup, but it has now been postponed to 2040 due to implementation challenges and cost. Thirty years ago, the project was estimated at €13 billion; today, it may cost twice as much. According to Spanish company SECEGSA, the tunnel could serve up to 12.8 million passengers per year.

In aviation, connections are developing dynamically. Royal Air Maroc announced new flights to Zurich and Munich starting this September, increasing travel options between Morocco and Europe. European carriers like Iberia and Air France operate daily flights from Paris and Madrid to Casablanca, Tangier, and Marrakesh. In 2024, passenger numbers rose 21% year-on-year (32.7 million), and aviation industry export revenues rose 17.3%. The national carrier, under a government agreement, plans to expand its fleet from 50 to 200 aircraft by 2037. Under the “Airports 2030” strategy, Morocco launched a $2.8 billion investment program to increase annual passenger capacity from 30 to 80 million by the end of the decade. A key element is the construction of a new international airport in Casablanca, next to King Mohammed V Airport – the largest cargo hub.

According to the LSCI index measuring global shipping integration, Morocco ranks 5th among the best-connected Mediterranean countries (up 6.1% year-on-year). Over 96% of the country’s trade is maritime, and port infrastructure is the backbone of the logistics system. Port Tanger Med, the largest in Africa by cargo capacity, handles container and transshipment traffic on the Suez Canal route. Daily ferry and Ro-Ro connections play a key role in creating maritime logistics bridges. The ferry network is well-developed, with ships operating between Spanish ports (Algeciras, Almería, Motril) and Moroccan ports (Tangier Ville, Nador). The annual Operation Marhaba mobilizes around 32 ships on 11 routes, serving over 7 million passengers and 2 million vehicles. In 2024, Tanger Med handled 10.24 million TEU – an 18.9% increase from the previous year – confirming Morocco’s growing role as a key logistics hub.

Conclusions

Morocco is modernizing its energy links with Europe, increasing energy security and independence. It is effectively integrating renewables into its transmission infrastructure, laying the foundation for large-scale green energy exports. On water, the country aims for self-sufficiency through desalination supported by renewable energy.

The planned Gibraltar tunnel is a symbol of increasing EU-Africa integration in infrastructure. Morocco is developing all types of infrastructure (road, rail, air, sea), creating an integrated logistics system to support not only trade but also innovation, tourism, and energy security. This positions the country as a regional hub between the EU and Africa, integrating passenger and cargo markets and supporting trade and intercontinental connections.

Morocco is aligning infrastructure development with preparations for the 2030 FIFA World Cup, treating the event as a catalyst for modernization and global exposure.

Infrastructure integration between the EU and Morocco brings mutual benefits. The EU gains a stable partner in North Africa and a gateway to sub-Saharan markets, while Morocco gains access to investment, technology, and European transport networks.

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Maciej Pawłowski Expert on the Mediterranean and migration. Author of three books and over a hundred publications on migration, economics, and politics in Mediterranean countries. He has appeared as a commentator in Polish, Spanish, Algerian, Tunisian, and Egyptian media. North African correspondent for the XYZ.pl portal. Since August 2025, representative of the Polish Investment and Trade Agency in Casablanca, and previously (2022-2025) in Algiers. Former employee of the Polish Embassy in Cairo. On March 14, 2025, his latest book was published, entitled „Brama do Europy. Czy Afryka Północna zdecyduje o przyszłości Starego Kontynentu?”.

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Maciej Pawłowski Expert on the Mediterranean and migration. Author of three books and over a hundred publications on migration, economics, and politics in Mediterranean countries. He has appeared as a commentator in Polish, Spanish, Algerian, Tunisian, and Egyptian media. North African correspondent for the XYZ.pl portal. Since August 2025, representative of the Polish Investment and Trade Agency in Casablanca, and previously (2022-2025) in Algiers. Former employee of the Polish Embassy in Cairo. On March 14, 2025, his latest book was published, entitled „Brama do Europy. Czy Afryka Północna zdecyduje o przyszłości Starego Kontynentu?”.
Program Europa tworzą:

Marcin Chruściel

Dyrektor programu. Absolwent studiów doktoranckich z zakresu nauk o polityce na Uniwersytecie Wrocławskim, magister stosunków międzynarodowych i europeistyki Uniwersytetu Jagiellońskiego. Prezes Zarządu Instytutu Nowej Europy.

dr Artur Bartoszewicz

Przewodniczący Rady Programowej Instytutu Nowej Europy. Doktor nauk ekonomicznych Szkoły Głównej Handlowej. Ekspert w dziedzinie polityki publicznej, w tym m. in. strategii państwa i gospodarki.

Michał Banasiak

Specjalizuje się w relacjach sportu i polityki. Autor analiz, komentarzy i wywiadów z zakresu dyplomacji sportowej i polityki międzynarodowej. Były dziennikarz Polsat News i wysłannik redakcji zagranicznej Telewizji Polskiej.

Maciej Pawłowski

Ekspert ds. migracji, gospodarki i polityki państw basenu Morza Śródziemnego. W latach 2018-2020 Analityk PISM ds. Południowej Europy. Autor publikacji w polskiej i zagranicznej prasie na temat Hiszpanii, Włoch, Grecji, Egiptu i państw Magrebu. Od września 2020 r. mieszka w północnej Afryce (Egipt, Algieria).

Jędrzej Błaszczak

Absolwent studiów prawniczych Uniwersytetu Śląskiego w Katowicach. Jego zainteresowania badawcze koncentrują się na Inicjatywie Trójmorza i polityce w Bułgarii. Doświadczenie zdobywał w European Foundation of Human Rights w Wilnie, Center for the Study of Democracy w Sofii i polskich placówkach dyplomatycznych w Teheranie i Tbilisi.

Program Bezpieczeństwo tworzą:

dr Aleksander Olech

Dyrektor programu. Wykładowca na Baltic Defence College, absolwent Europejskiej Akademii Dyplomacji oraz Akademii Sztuki Wojennej. Jego główne zainteresowania badawcze to terroryzm, bezpieczeństwo w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej oraz rola NATO i UE w środowisku zagrożeń hybrydowych.

dr Agnieszka Rogozińska

Członek Rady Programowej Instytutu Nowej Europy. Doktor nauk społecznych w dyscyplinie nauki o polityce. Zainteresowania badawcze koncentruje na problematyce bezpieczeństwa euroatlantyckiego, instytucjonalnym wymiarze bezpieczeństwa i współczesnych zagrożeniach.

Aleksy Borówka

Doktorant na Wydziale Nauk Społecznych Uniwersytetu Wrocławskiego, Przewodniczący Krajowej Reprezentacji Doktorantów w kadencji 2020. Autor kilkunastu prac naukowych, poświęconych naukom o bezpieczeństwie, naukom o polityce i administracji oraz stosunkom międzynarodowym. Laureat I, II oraz III Międzynarodowej Olimpiady Geopolitycznej.

Karolina Siekierka

Absolwentka Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego na kierunku stosunki międzynarodowe, specjalizacji Bezpieczeństwo i Studia Strategiczne. Jej zainteresowania badawcze obejmują politykę zagraniczną i wewnętrzną Francji, prawa człowieka oraz konflikty zbrojne.

Stanisław Waszczykowski

Podoficer rezerwy, student studiów magisterskich na kierunku Bezpieczeństwo Międzynarodowe i Dyplomacja na Akademii Sztuki Wojennej, były praktykant w BBN. Jego zainteresowania badawcze obejmują m.in. operacje pokojowe ONZ oraz bezpieczeństwo Ukrainy.

Leon Pińczak

Student studiów drugiego stopnia na Uniwersytecie Warszawskim na kierunku stosunki międzynarodowe. Dziennikarz polskojęzycznej redakcji Biełsatu. Zawodowo zajmuje się obszarem postsowieckim, rosyjską polityką wewnętrzną i doktrynami FR. Biegle włada językiem rosyjskim.

Program Indo-Pacyfik tworzą:

Łukasz Kobierski

Dyrektor programu. Współzałożyciel INE oraz prezes zarządu w latach 2019-2021. Stypendysta szkoleń z zakresu bezpieczeństwa na Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security w Waszyngtonie, ekspert od stosunków międzynarodowych. Absolwent Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego oraz Uniwersytetu Mikołaja Kopernika. Wiceprezes Zarządu INE.

dr Joanna Siekiera

Prawnik międzynarodowy, doktor nauk społecznych, adiunkt na Wydziale Prawa Uniwersytetu w Bergen w Norwegii. Była stypendystką rządu Nowej Zelandii na Uniwersytecie Victorii w Wellington, niemieckiego Institute of Cultural Diplomacy, a także francuskiego Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques.

Paweł Paszak

Absolwent stosunków międzynarodowych (spec. Wschodnioazjatycka) na Uniwersytecie Warszawskim oraz stypendysta University of Kent (W. Brytania) i Hainan University (ChRL). Doktorant UW i Akademii Sztuki Wojennej. Jego zainteresowania badawcze obejmują politykę zagraniczną ChRL oraz strategiczną rywalizację Chiny-USA.

Jakub Graca

Magister stosunków międzynarodowych na Uniwersytecie Jagiellońskim; studiował także filologię orientalną (specjalność: arabistyka). Analityk Centrum Inicjatyw Międzynarodowych (Warszawa) oraz Instytutu Nowej Europy. Zainteresowania badawcze: Stany Zjednoczone (z naciskiem na politykę zagraniczną), relacje transatlantyckie.

Patryk Szczotka

Absolwent filologii dalekowschodniej ze specjalnością chińską na Uniwersytecie Wrocławskim oraz student kierunku double degree China and International Relations na Aalborg University oraz University of International Relations (国际关系学院) w Pekinie. Jego zainteresowania naukowe to relacje polityczne i gospodarcze UE-ChRL oraz dyplomacja.

The programme's team:

Marcin Chruściel

Programme director. Graduate of PhD studies in Political Science at the University of Wroclaw and Master studies in International Relations at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow. President of the Management Board at the Institute of New Europe.

PhD Artur Bartoszewicz

Chairman of the Institute's Programme Board. Doctor of Economic Sciences at the SGH Warsaw School of Economics. Expert in the field of public policy, including state and economic strategies. Expert at the National Centre for Research and Development and the Digital Poland Projects Centre.

Michał Banasiak

He specializes in relationship of sports and politics. Author of analysis, comments and interviews in the field of sports diplomacy and international politics. Former Polsat News and Polish Television’s foreign desk journalist.

Maciej Pawłowski

Expert on migration, economics and politics of Mediterranean countries. In the period of 2018-2020 PISM Analyst on Southern Europe. Author of various articles in Polish and foreign press about Spain, Italy, Greece, Egypt and Maghreb countries. Since September 2020 lives in North Africa (Egypt, Algeria).

Jędrzej Błaszczak

Graduate of Law at the University of Silesia. His research interests focus on the Three Seas Initiative and politics in Bulgaria. He acquired experience at the European Foundation of Human Rights in Vilnius, the Center for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, and in Polish embassies in Tehran and Tbilisi.

PhD Aleksander Olech

Programme director. Visiting lecturer at the Baltic Defence College, graduate of the European Academy of Diplomacy and War Studies University. His main research interests include terrorism, international cooperation for security in Eastern Europe and the role of NATO and the EU with regard to hybrid threats.

PhD Agnieszka Rogozińska

Member of the Institute's Programme Board. Doctor of Social Sciences in the discipline of Political Science. Editorial secretary of the academic journals "Politics & Security" and "Independence: journal devoted to Poland's recent history". Her research interests focus on security issues.

Aleksy Borówka

PhD candidate at the Faculty of Social Sciences in the University of Wroclaw, the President of the Polish National Associations of PhD Candidates in 2020. The author of dozen of scientific papers, concerning security studies, political science, administration, international relations. Laureate of the I, II and III International Geopolitical Olympiad.

Karolina Siekierka

Graduate of International Relations specializing in Security and Strategic Studies at University of Warsaw. Erasmus student at the Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1) and the Institut d’Etudes Politique de Paris (Sciences Po Paris). Her research areas include human rights, climate change and armed conflicts.

Stanisław Waszczykowski

Reserve non-commissioned officer. Master's degree student in International Security and Diplomacy at the War Studies University in Warsaw, former trainee at the National Security Bureau. His research interests include issues related to UN peacekeeping operations and the security of Ukraine.

Leon Pińczak

A second-degree student at the University of Warsaw, majoring in international relations. A journalist of the Polish language edition of Belsat. Interested in the post-Soviet area, with a particular focus on Russian internal politics and Russian doctrines - foreign, defense and information-cybernetic.

Łukasz Kobierski

Programme director. Deputy President of the Management Board. Scholarship holder at the Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security in Washington and an expert in the field of international relations. Graduate of the University of Warsaw and the Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń

PhD Joanna Siekiera

International lawyer, Doctor of social sciences, postdoctor at the Faculty of Law, University of Bergen, Norway. She was a scholarship holder of the New Zealand government at the Victoria University of Wellington, Institute of Cultural Diplomacy in Germany, Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques in France.

Paweł Paszak

Graduate of International Relations (specialisation in East Asian Studies) from the University of Warsaw and scholarship holder at the University of Kent (UK) and Hainan University (China). PhD candidate at the University of Warsaw and the War Studies University. His research areas include the foreign policy of China and the strategic rivalry between China and the US in the Indo-Pacific.

Jakub Graca

Master of International Relations at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow. He also studied Arabic therein. An analyst at the Center for International Initiatives (Warsaw) and the Institute of New Europe. Research interests: United States (mainly foreign policy), transatlantic relations.

Patryk Szczotka

A graduate of Far Eastern Philology with a specialization in China Studies at the University of Wroclaw and a student of a double degree “China and International Relations” at Aalborg University and University of International Relations (国际关系学院) in Beijing. His research interests include EU-China political and economic relations, as well as diplomacy.

Three Seas Think Tanks Hub is a platform of cooperation among different think tanks based in 3SI member countries. Their common goal is to strengthen public debate and understanding of the Three Seas region seen from the political, economic and security perspective. The project aims at exchanging ideas, research and publications on the region’s potential and challenges.

Members

The Baltic Security Foundation (Latvia)

The BSF promotes the security and defense of the Baltic Sea region. It gathers security experts from the region and beyond, provides a platform for discussion and research, promotes solutions that lead to stronger regional security in the military and other areas.

The Institute for Politics and Society (Czech Republic)

The Institute analyses important economic, political, and social areas that affect today’s society. The mission of the Institute is to cultivate the Czech political and public sphere through professional and open discussion.

Nézöpont Institute (Hungary)

The Institute aims at improving Hungarian public life and public discourse by providing real data, facts and opinions based on those. Its primary focus points are Hungarian youth, media policy and Central European cooperation.

The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (Austria)

The wiiw is one of the principal centres for research on Central, East and Southeast Europe with 50 years of experience. Over the years, the Institute has broadened its expertise, increasing its regional coverage – to European integration, the countries of Wider Europe and selected issues of the global economy.

The International Institute for Peace (Austria)

The Institute strives to address the most topical issues of the day and promote dialogue, public engagement, and a common understanding to ensure a holistic approach to conflict resolution and a durable peace. The IIP functions as a platform to promote peace and non-violent conflict resolution across the world.

The Institute for Regional and International Studies (Bulgaria)

The IRIS initiates, develops and implements civic strategies for democratic politics at the national, regional and international level. The Institute promotes the values of democracy, civil society, freedom and respect for law and assists the process of deepening Bulgarian integration in NATO and the EU.

The European Institute of Romania

EIR is a public institution whose mission is to provide expertise in the field of European Affairs to the public administration, the business community, the social partners and the civil society. EIR’s activity is focused on four key domains: research, training, communication, translation of the EHRC case-law.

The Institute of New Europe (Poland)

The Institute is an advisory and analytical non-governmental organisation active in the fields of international politics, international security and economics. The Institute supports policy-makers by providing them with expert opinions, as well as creating a platform for academics, publicists, and commentators to exchange ideas.

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