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Institute of New Europe Institute of New Europe
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Jun 29
Europe, Publications, Security, Ukraine

The modern technogenic catastrophe – blowing up the Kakhovka dam. What are the consequences?

June 29, 2023

Russian troops seized Kakhovka hydroelectric power station on February 24, 2022, and later mined it. On the night of June 6, 2023, the Russian occupiers blew up the station, which was reported by the Operational Command “South”. The station, with a more than 300 MW capacity, was built in the mid-1950s. The Kakhovska HPP raises the water level in the Dnieper to 16 m creating the Kakhovsky Reservoir, from which the Kakhovsky Canal, the North Crimean Canal, and the Dnipro-Kryvyi Rih Canal begin.

The state-sanctioned destruction of a dam, which is an object of critical infrastructure, violates the Geneva Convention, in particular, the First Additional Protocol relating to the Protection of Victims of International Armed Conflicts of June 8, 1977, which established a list of objects that cannot be targeted [1].

Currently, we can only imagine the scale of the disaster (Fig. 1), and the estimation of the consequences will take time; for now, we only have early assessments. Consequences are generally divided into short-, medium- and long-term. As of this moment we are dealing mainly with the short- and middle-term effects. This translates into the flooding of settlements, the desertification of territories, and the death of people and numerous animals. As of June 20, 2023, it was possible to establish the whereabouts of 202 residents of the Kherson region. 109 people are still missing due to the dam explosion, and the National Police is searching for them and investigating cases.

Fig. 1. Scale of flooding

Before the Russian blew up the Kakhovska Hydroelectric Power Plant, the area of the reservoir of the same name was 2,155 km2. Drainage of the Kakhovsky Reservoir took place through the loss of large volumes of water during June 6-18, 2023, the maximum flow of which reached 30-40 thousand m3 per second. As of June 13, the depth of the Kakhovsky reservoir has decreased by 4-5 meters. 2 channels were distinguished: the main one runs along the right bank of the reservoir, i.e. near the city of Nikopol; the second channel passes near the town of Energodar. Nevertheless, the connection of the cooling reservoir of the Zaporizhzhya NPP was interrupted.

Thus, the formation of several disconnected reservoirs within a total area of less than a third of the reservoir (655.9 km2) as of June 18, 2023, with a tendency to reduce the water surface area, the impossibility of the reservoir to fulfill its functions, the formation of the main channel of the Dnipro River within the territory of the reservoir gives reason to say that the Kakhovsky reservoir ceased to exist 13 days after the Russian terrorist attack [2].

Today, Ukrainian society is actively involved in conducting rescue operations and fixing the general situation. Regarding the consequences of the disaster, they are presently only being recorded for particular industries or spheres. However, the problem is much more complex and complicated because it is impossible to single out purely ecological, socio-cultural, or economic consequences as they are interconnected and give a synergistic effect that strengthens the negative impacts of the event. For now, we will try to systematize the known facts based on official sources, but the final assessment needs time (also because some consequences will only become apparent with time).

Socio-cultural issues. In this part, we tried to place the consequences that will affect social and cultural life not only now but also in the long term. First of all, it should be noted that currently, there is no exact number of victims of this tragedy (data on the injured and dead in the territory under the control of the Russian troops may never become public). However, it is already clear that about 80 settlements will be flooding. Oleksandr Tolokonnikov, the spokesman for the Kherson regional military administration, said on the air of Radio Svoboda that about 16,000 people are being evacuated on the right bank of the Kherson region due to the threat of flooding [3].

People lose their homes, families, and jobs and are forced to flee before the rising water, trying to save the most valuable possessions, including documents and animals. The problems of resettlement, assistance, and presenting new opportunities for household organization and employment are only beginning to gain momentum. After all, in addition to the physical destruction of property, many of these people have lost the opportunity to resume business or find regular work due to the destruction of agricultural territories, vineyards, etc.

Once again, Ukrainians will lose part of their history, including family history – letters, photographs, memorabilia, everything that establishes a connection between generations and simplifies the preservation of one’s story.

Once again, people will be forced to seek help and experience traumatic events. A large part of three regions (oblast) will remain without water supply: Kherson, Mykolaiv, and Zaporizhzhia.

This will lead to changes to the usual way of life and force people to master new skills associated with disinfection, economical consumption, and water storage for domestic needs. These war-time skills that Ukrainians have become used to, such as the rule of two walls to be safe in case of bombing, having your phones charged and power banks, keeping “home generators,” and maintaining water sanitizing systems, are not part of a relaxed, peaceful life but a traumatic experience that will change the behavior of several generations.

The heritage of Ukraine is also in danger of flooding. In particular, the house museum of the outstanding artist Pelageya (Polina) Raiko, located in Oleshki town, was underwater. In 2008, the artist Vyacheslav Mashnytskyi created the Kherson Regional Charitable Fund named after Rayko to preserve the Rayko house. Polina Raiko. (During the occupation of Kherson Oblast, Vyacheslav Mashnytsky went missing). The artist’s creative legacy is the entire building, which is currently protected by the Law of Ukraine, “On the Protection of Cultural Heritage.” [4]

As a result of the flooding of the Kherson region after the destruction of the Kakhovska HPP, 48 objects of the nature reserve fund will be entirely or partially affected, experts of the Ukrainian environmental protection group reported. According to their calculations, the total area of flooded protected areas may exceed 120,000 hectares. Another 22 territories of the nature reserve fund in the flood zone are being created. Note that the Black Sea Biosphere Reserve territory has been protected since 1927, and it is part of the worldwide network of UNESCO biosphere reserves [5].

Environmental risks and losses. The direct impact on the environment and the population is also related to water pollution. According to the Ministry of Health [6], many substances could be dangerous to health at the bottom of the Kakhovska HPP. Chemicals, causative agents of infectious diseases from cemeteries, latrines, and landfills, can end up in wells and open water bodies on the territory flooded as a result of the detonation of the hydroelectric power plant. Specialists of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) constantly work on the ground and take water samples from reservoirs and wells, etc.

Separately, there is a risk of potentially dangerous substances entering the water from industrial enterprises affected by the explosion. The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine has already reported that at least 150 tons of engine oil got into the Dnipro, and there still remains the risk of further leakage of up to more than 300 tons [7].

Another issue is the pollution of the Dnipro River’s waters. The primary pollution is caused by the washing away of garbage, agrochemicals, and other hazardous materials, as well as the flooding and disabling of wastewater treatment systems and sewage systems. The secondary is caused by the disturbance of sediment layers, where pollutants have accumulated for decades. Moreover, the death of cattle, livestock, domestic animals, and animals in zoos, the corpses of which in hot weather, will contaminate water and soil, pollute the air, and pose a danger of spreading infectious diseases.

Wildlife areas will be affected seriously due to the disruption of habitats and the potential loss of animals inhabiting the terrestrial regions that will be flooded. There are significant risks to rodent populations, including endemic species and those listed in the Red Book of Ukraine [8].

The negative consequences of the devastation of aquatic bioresources will continue for several years, even if the bed of the Kakhovsky Reservoir will be filled again shortly. Since the quantitative and qualitative composition of fish populations is renewed, restoring the bottom coenoses of the feed base takes a long time.

Another point to mention is the change in the microclimate of the area due to changes in the surface area of the water reservoir, violation of the water balance, and increased open land areas. Also, the issue is the inability to regulate water levels during waterlogging and floods, leading to the risk of re-flooding areas dependent on regulation by the Kakhovka HPP.

Desalination of the sea is also one of the possible consequences of the disaster. The release of such a large amount of river water can temporarily desalinate certain areas of the Black Sea. However, considering that we are talking about the water area of the Dnipro-Buzka estuary, which has been filled with the waters of the Dnipro and the Southern Bug for thousands of years, this impact is unlikely to have catastrophic consequences.

Economic and technogenic threats. The explosion of the Kakhovska HPP dam will have severe consequences for Ukraine in several sectors at once – energy, logistics, industry, and agriculture – the Center for Economic Strategy (CES) reports [9]. Some of the estimates are tied to the water level in the reservoir, which may reach a critical level shortly. Global markets have already reacted to the dam’s collapse. According to the results of the auctions on June 6. wheat quotations on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) rose to the maximum in the last three weeks – $230.6 per ton (+$1.3) [10].

As a result of the destruction of the dam, the lowering of the water level in the Kakhovsky Reservoir may pose a potential threat to the temporarily occupied Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant (NPP). Water from the Kakhovsky reservoir is necessary for the plant to replenish turbine capacitors and safety systems [9]. As of June 7, the situation at Zaporizhzhya NPP was stable. Some reactors are under repair, some are in cold idle, and one reactor is in a hot shutdown. As of June 21, the IAEA warned about the threat of nuclear fuel melting at the ZNPP [11]. Energoatom stated that it monitors the situation and follows the actions of the occupiers at the ZNPP together with other international organizations present at the plant, particularly the IAEA [12].

According to the first estimate of the National Bank, due to the destruction of the Kakhovska HPP, the negative contribution to the change in the real GDP of Ukraine will be 0.2% [13].

In the short term, the impact will be limited. It will be caused primarily by the negative effects of reducing water consumption on the industrial activity of the southeastern region, in particular, the work of a number of metallurgical enterprises, agricultural enterprises, and the food industry. The largest metallurgical plant in Ukraine, ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih, faced a shortage of technical water, which led to a reduction in production. The enterprise now operates at 15-20% of pre-war capacity. Before the Kakhovska HPP disaster, this figure was 35-40%. Upstream of the Dnieper, Nikopol also has ferroalloy and pipe works that require access to water. In the short term, metallurgy will be the most affected industry [14].

In addition, the latter will be affected by a decrease in the harvest of sunflowers and vegetables grown in the Kherson region, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk regions. During the briefing representative of the National Bank of Ukraine, S. Nikolaychuk [15], mentioned that several crops are at risk of drying out: about 20% of eggplants, as well as cucumbers, watermelons, tomatoes, peppers, and, to a lesser extent, carrots. He added that about 10-14% of the total vegetable harvest is at risk, but the NBU’s estimates of actual losses are much lower – about 5%.

Damages to state property of reclamation systems and canals as a result of the explosion of the Kakhovska HPP reached $ 4-5 billion, but the exact data will be determined after the de-occupation of the territories, the press service of the Ministry of Agricultural Policy and Food reported.

The National Bank emphasized that the economic risks are most concentrated in reducing its potential. These are the risks of reduced agricultural productivity, loss of irrigation systems, as well as loss of property and production facilities in flooded areas, deterioration of expectations, and the possible increase in migration, including abroad.

So far, core inflation has eased to 15.6% y/y in May from 16.9% y/y in April, but we will feel the effects of the dam blow up in the coming months. According to the first estimates of the National Bank, Ukraine will face an increase in the trade deficit in goods over the next two years. Current estimates put losses at $0.4 billion in 2023 and $0.7 billion in 2024.

According to forecasts of ICU specialist V. Vavryshchuk, the tragedy may cost the economy more than $10 billion in the future [14].

The Ministry of Agriculture underlines that the Kakhovsky reservoir was the source of irrigation for 94% of systems in Kherson, 74% – in Zaporizhia, and 30% – in Dnipropetrovsk regions. The Kakhov reservoir was a source of power for 584,000 hectares of land, which was supplied with water for irrigation. In particular, the Kakhovsky main canal served 326,000 hectares, the North Crimean – 39,700 hectares of agricultural land. In addition, a number of systems in the Zaporizhia, Kherson, and Dnipropetrovsk regions carried out separate water intake from the Kakhov reservoir for a total irrigation area of 218.3 thousand hectares [15]. In 2021 on these territories about 4 million tons of grain and oil crops were grown worth about 1.5 billion dollars. According to preliminary estimates, more than 100,000 tons of crops were lost on the right bank [16].

According to the Ministry for Communities, Territories and Infrastructure Development of Ukraine (Ministry of Infrastructure) [17], in Kherson Oblast, commissions have begun an inspection of housing damaged or destroyed as a result of the explosion of the Kakhovska HPP. On the initiative of the Ministry, the Government of Ukraine allocated more than 980 million hryvnias for the reconstruction of housing flooded as a result of Russians undermining the Kakhovska HPP. For damaged housing, financial assistance can be obtained using the eRecovery service through the Diya application.

As a result of the destruction of the Kakhovska HPP, losses to the fishing industry from the death of only adults may reach 95 thousand tons or about 4 billion UAH. In total, according to preliminary calculations, losses from the death of all biological resources will amount to UAH 10.5 billion.

It is also worth noting the possible negative consequences for the export infrastructure because elevators and port terminals were located on the Dnieper. The scale of these destructions is a topic for later discussion.

In conclusion, we want to emphasize that the given systematization of consequences and assessment of losses and damages will change and be supplemented as new information is received (fig. 2). Currently, it is known that the reservoir was activated to the “dead point” on June 10-11. And already on June 18, the Kakhov reservoir, the second largest in Ukraine, actually ceased to exist.

In addition to its stabilizing role in the power system, the reservoir of the Kakhovska HPP provided water to a considerable number of people and enterprises. Around were formed ecosystems with unique properties and species and were the heritage of the whole world. All this has now been destroyed.

Commissioning of the Zaporizhska NPP is possible only after the restoration of access to water resources, particularly after the reconstruction of the Kakhovsky Reservoir. As a result, the power plant will be disconnected from the Ukrainian grid, and Ukraine will lose 6 GW of nuclear power (43% of Ukraine’s total nuclear generation capacity).

According to Ukrhydroenergo, $800 million to $1 billion is needed to build a new station. In addition to the station, building a bridge and a railway crossing will be necessary. According to preliminary estimates, the construction may take up to five years.

However, for now, the most important thing is to save people and animals and prevent a disaster stemming from water pollution. An essential element is the careful recording of facts for calculating damages and losses. As for development and reconstruction plans, they can be drafted when the situation finally stabilizes.

Most of the economic impacts will have a long-term nature and will already be reflected in the GDP growth rate, inflation and the decrease in the country’s export potential at the end of the year.

But what is known at this point is that these losses will be significant not only for Ukraine but also for the world community because the issues of nuclear safety, cultural heritage, and biodiversity are not limited to the borders of one region or country.

Fig. 2. Consequences of blowing up the Kakhovka dam

Foto: PAP/UKRINFORM


  1. Укргідроенерго інформує – https://uhe.gov.ua/media_tsentr/novyny/ukrgidroenergo-dodatkovo-proinformuvalo-espl-pro-ruynuvannya-kakhovskoi-ges
  2. Друге за площею в Україні Каховське водосховище фактично перестало існувати (19.06.2023), Повідомлення НАНУ – https://www.nas.gov.ua/UA/Messages/Pages/View.aspx?MessageID=10239&fbclid=IwAR0gZJ4y2HXX6Zt2FhEFWM2PFhtW6BnMtMlgGQLFfQpkaGKHqRCs943uwhE
  3. Радіо Свобода  https://www.radiosvoboda.org/a/novyny-pryazovya-kakhovska-hes-ekolohya-kontrnastup-zsu/32447037.html
  4. Благодійний фонд Райко – https://polinaraiko.com/raiko/?fbclid=IwAR2jTI3go_qieayqJkE0u0Uj9gHX_NFeyiOQQgT5IRh1oAEs5liO5jscxN4
  5. Українська природоохоронна ліга – https://uncg.org.ua/iakymy-ie-naslidky-rosijskoho-teraktu-na-kakhovskij-hes-dlia-dykoi-pryrody/
  6. Міністерство охорони здоров’я – https://www.facebook.com/moz.ukr/posts/pfbid0VtQK7ztmP384rDm8ce4hGUY1cpidmvXtMKyarGw6QG33eWHbfHn8zx21rejYE55l
  7. Екстренне засідання РНБО – https://president.gov.ua/news/prezident-ukrayini-proviv-ekstrene-zasidannya-radi-nacionaln-83417
  8. NGO Environment People Law http://epl.org.ua/en/announces/pidryv-kahovskoyi-ges-poperedni-vysnovky-i-mozhlyvi-naslidky/
  9. Економічні наслідки та оцінки руйнування дамби на Каховській ГЕС, Центр Економічної стратегії – https://ces.org.ua/ekonomichni-naslidki-rujnuvannya-kahovsko%d1%97-ges/
  10. Цензор Нет  https://biz.censor.net/news/3423189/pidryv_kahovskoyi_ges_vplynuv_na_svitovi_tsiny_na_pshenytsyu
  11. Update 167 (21.06.2023) IAEA https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/update-167-iaea-director-general-statement-on-situation-in-ukraine?fbclid=IwAR1ExrET-03wYg99bYGXzGIp8A4drds_R9pEKp9z_aPhva4UFS-kjJbTaZA
  12. Бліцінтервʼю з керівником «Укргідроенерго» Ігорем Сиротою, Forbs – http://surl.li/hufcv
  13. Оцінки НБУ (12.06.2023) Економічна правада – https://www.epravda.com.ua/news/2023/06/21/701417/
  14. Ефект з уповільненою дією (15.06.2023) Forbs – https://forbes.ua/money/efekt-z-upovilnenoyu-dieyu-katastrofa-na-kakhovskiy-ges-ne-zavadit-ekonomichnomu-zrostannyu-ale-vpline-na-inflyatsiyu-yak-tragediya-vpline-na-vvp-tsini-ta-derzhbyudzhet-15062023-14216
  15. Попередня оцінка збитків (06.06.2023), Офіційний сайт міністерства – https://minagro.gov.ua/news/znishchennya-rosiyanami-kahovskoyi-ges-zavdalo-znachnih-zbitkiv-silskomu-gospodarstvu-ukrayini
  16. Заступник Міністра Т.  Висоцкій – https://minagro.gov.ua/news/zemli-yaki-zatopleni-potrebuyut-povnoyi-agroekologichnoyi-ocinki-taras-visockij
  17. Офіційни канал Міністерства – https://shorturl.at/jCHQ6
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Prof. Liubov V. Zharova Prof. Liubov V. Zharova. Professor at Wyższa Szkoła Ekonomiczno - Humanistyczna (Poland), Dr. Sci (Economics), Associated prof. and Head of International Economic Relations, Business and Management Department at the Ukrainian-American Concordia University (Kyiv).

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Prof. Liubov V. Zharova Prof. Liubov V. Zharova. Professor at Wyższa Szkoła Ekonomiczno - Humanistyczna (Poland), Dr. Sci (Economics), Associated prof. and Head of International Economic Relations, Business and Management Department at the Ukrainian-American Concordia University (Kyiv).
Program Europa tworzą:

Marcin Chruściel

Dyrektor programu. Absolwent studiów doktoranckich z zakresu nauk o polityce na Uniwersytecie Wrocławskim, magister stosunków międzynarodowych i europeistyki Uniwersytetu Jagiellońskiego. Prezes Zarządu Instytutu Nowej Europy.

dr Artur Bartoszewicz

Przewodniczący Rady Programowej Instytutu Nowej Europy. Doktor nauk ekonomicznych Szkoły Głównej Handlowej. Ekspert w dziedzinie polityki publicznej, w tym m. in. strategii państwa i gospodarki.

Michał Banasiak

Specjalizuje się w relacjach sportu i polityki. Autor analiz, komentarzy i wywiadów z zakresu dyplomacji sportowej i polityki międzynarodowej. Były dziennikarz Polsat News i wysłannik redakcji zagranicznej Telewizji Polskiej.

Maciej Pawłowski

Ekspert ds. migracji, gospodarki i polityki państw basenu Morza Śródziemnego. W latach 2018-2020 Analityk PISM ds. Południowej Europy. Autor publikacji w polskiej i zagranicznej prasie na temat Hiszpanii, Włoch, Grecji, Egiptu i państw Magrebu. Od września 2020 r. mieszka w północnej Afryce (Egipt, Algieria).

Jędrzej Błaszczak

Absolwent studiów prawniczych Uniwersytetu Śląskiego w Katowicach. Jego zainteresowania badawcze koncentrują się na Inicjatywie Trójmorza i polityce w Bułgarii. Doświadczenie zdobywał w European Foundation of Human Rights w Wilnie, Center for the Study of Democracy w Sofii i polskich placówkach dyplomatycznych w Teheranie i Tbilisi.

Program Bezpieczeństwo tworzą:

dr Aleksander Olech

Dyrektor programu. Wykładowca na Baltic Defence College, absolwent Europejskiej Akademii Dyplomacji oraz Akademii Sztuki Wojennej. Jego główne zainteresowania badawcze to terroryzm, bezpieczeństwo w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej oraz rola NATO i UE w środowisku zagrożeń hybrydowych.

dr Agnieszka Rogozińska

Członek Rady Programowej Instytutu Nowej Europy. Doktor nauk społecznych w dyscyplinie nauki o polityce. Zainteresowania badawcze koncentruje na problematyce bezpieczeństwa euroatlantyckiego, instytucjonalnym wymiarze bezpieczeństwa i współczesnych zagrożeniach.

Aleksy Borówka

Doktorant na Wydziale Nauk Społecznych Uniwersytetu Wrocławskiego, Przewodniczący Krajowej Reprezentacji Doktorantów w kadencji 2020. Autor kilkunastu prac naukowych, poświęconych naukom o bezpieczeństwie, naukom o polityce i administracji oraz stosunkom międzynarodowym. Laureat I, II oraz III Międzynarodowej Olimpiady Geopolitycznej.

Karolina Siekierka

Absolwentka Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego na kierunku stosunki międzynarodowe, specjalizacji Bezpieczeństwo i Studia Strategiczne. Jej zainteresowania badawcze obejmują politykę zagraniczną i wewnętrzną Francji, prawa człowieka oraz konflikty zbrojne.

Stanisław Waszczykowski

Podoficer rezerwy, student studiów magisterskich na kierunku Bezpieczeństwo Międzynarodowe i Dyplomacja na Akademii Sztuki Wojennej, były praktykant w BBN. Jego zainteresowania badawcze obejmują m.in. operacje pokojowe ONZ oraz bezpieczeństwo Ukrainy.

Leon Pińczak

Student studiów drugiego stopnia na Uniwersytecie Warszawskim na kierunku stosunki międzynarodowe. Dziennikarz polskojęzycznej redakcji Biełsatu. Zawodowo zajmuje się obszarem postsowieckim, rosyjską polityką wewnętrzną i doktrynami FR. Biegle włada językiem rosyjskim.

Program Indo-Pacyfik tworzą:

Łukasz Kobierski

Dyrektor programu. Współzałożyciel INE oraz prezes zarządu w latach 2019-2021. Stypendysta szkoleń z zakresu bezpieczeństwa na Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security w Waszyngtonie, ekspert od stosunków międzynarodowych. Absolwent Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego oraz Uniwersytetu Mikołaja Kopernika. Wiceprezes Zarządu INE.

dr Joanna Siekiera

Prawnik międzynarodowy, doktor nauk społecznych, adiunkt na Wydziale Prawa Uniwersytetu w Bergen w Norwegii. Była stypendystką rządu Nowej Zelandii na Uniwersytecie Victorii w Wellington, niemieckiego Institute of Cultural Diplomacy, a także francuskiego Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques.

Paweł Paszak

Absolwent stosunków międzynarodowych (spec. Wschodnioazjatycka) na Uniwersytecie Warszawskim oraz stypendysta University of Kent (W. Brytania) i Hainan University (ChRL). Doktorant UW i Akademii Sztuki Wojennej. Jego zainteresowania badawcze obejmują politykę zagraniczną ChRL oraz strategiczną rywalizację Chiny-USA.

Jakub Graca

Magister stosunków międzynarodowych na Uniwersytecie Jagiellońskim; studiował także filologię orientalną (specjalność: arabistyka). Analityk Centrum Inicjatyw Międzynarodowych (Warszawa) oraz Instytutu Nowej Europy. Zainteresowania badawcze: Stany Zjednoczone (z naciskiem na politykę zagraniczną), relacje transatlantyckie.

Patryk Szczotka

Absolwent filologii dalekowschodniej ze specjalnością chińską na Uniwersytecie Wrocławskim oraz student kierunku double degree China and International Relations na Aalborg University oraz University of International Relations (国际关系学院) w Pekinie. Jego zainteresowania naukowe to relacje polityczne i gospodarcze UE-ChRL oraz dyplomacja.

The programme's team:

Marcin Chruściel

Programme director. Graduate of PhD studies in Political Science at the University of Wroclaw and Master studies in International Relations at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow. President of the Management Board at the Institute of New Europe.

PhD Artur Bartoszewicz

Chairman of the Institute's Programme Board. Doctor of Economic Sciences at the SGH Warsaw School of Economics. Expert in the field of public policy, including state and economic strategies. Expert at the National Centre for Research and Development and the Digital Poland Projects Centre.

Michał Banasiak

He specializes in relationship of sports and politics. Author of analysis, comments and interviews in the field of sports diplomacy and international politics. Former Polsat News and Polish Television’s foreign desk journalist.

Maciej Pawłowski

Expert on migration, economics and politics of Mediterranean countries. In the period of 2018-2020 PISM Analyst on Southern Europe. Author of various articles in Polish and foreign press about Spain, Italy, Greece, Egypt and Maghreb countries. Since September 2020 lives in North Africa (Egypt, Algeria).

Jędrzej Błaszczak

Graduate of Law at the University of Silesia. His research interests focus on the Three Seas Initiative and politics in Bulgaria. He acquired experience at the European Foundation of Human Rights in Vilnius, the Center for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, and in Polish embassies in Tehran and Tbilisi.

PhD Aleksander Olech

Programme director. Visiting lecturer at the Baltic Defence College, graduate of the European Academy of Diplomacy and War Studies University. His main research interests include terrorism, international cooperation for security in Eastern Europe and the role of NATO and the EU with regard to hybrid threats.

PhD Agnieszka Rogozińska

Member of the Institute's Programme Board. Doctor of Social Sciences in the discipline of Political Science. Editorial secretary of the academic journals "Politics & Security" and "Independence: journal devoted to Poland's recent history". Her research interests focus on security issues.

Aleksy Borówka

PhD candidate at the Faculty of Social Sciences in the University of Wroclaw, the President of the Polish National Associations of PhD Candidates in 2020. The author of dozen of scientific papers, concerning security studies, political science, administration, international relations. Laureate of the I, II and III International Geopolitical Olympiad.

Karolina Siekierka

Graduate of International Relations specializing in Security and Strategic Studies at University of Warsaw. Erasmus student at the Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1) and the Institut d’Etudes Politique de Paris (Sciences Po Paris). Her research areas include human rights, climate change and armed conflicts.

Stanisław Waszczykowski

Reserve non-commissioned officer. Master's degree student in International Security and Diplomacy at the War Studies University in Warsaw, former trainee at the National Security Bureau. His research interests include issues related to UN peacekeeping operations and the security of Ukraine.

Leon Pińczak

A second-degree student at the University of Warsaw, majoring in international relations. A journalist of the Polish language edition of Belsat. Interested in the post-Soviet area, with a particular focus on Russian internal politics and Russian doctrines - foreign, defense and information-cybernetic.

Łukasz Kobierski

Programme director. Deputy President of the Management Board. Scholarship holder at the Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security in Washington and an expert in the field of international relations. Graduate of the University of Warsaw and the Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń

PhD Joanna Siekiera

International lawyer, Doctor of social sciences, postdoctor at the Faculty of Law, University of Bergen, Norway. She was a scholarship holder of the New Zealand government at the Victoria University of Wellington, Institute of Cultural Diplomacy in Germany, Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques in France.

Paweł Paszak

Graduate of International Relations (specialisation in East Asian Studies) from the University of Warsaw and scholarship holder at the University of Kent (UK) and Hainan University (China). PhD candidate at the University of Warsaw and the War Studies University. His research areas include the foreign policy of China and the strategic rivalry between China and the US in the Indo-Pacific.

Jakub Graca

Master of International Relations at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow. He also studied Arabic therein. An analyst at the Center for International Initiatives (Warsaw) and the Institute of New Europe. Research interests: United States (mainly foreign policy), transatlantic relations.

Patryk Szczotka

A graduate of Far Eastern Philology with a specialization in China Studies at the University of Wroclaw and a student of a double degree “China and International Relations” at Aalborg University and University of International Relations (国际关系学院) in Beijing. His research interests include EU-China political and economic relations, as well as diplomacy.

Three Seas Think Tanks Hub is a platform of cooperation among different think tanks based in 3SI member countries. Their common goal is to strengthen public debate and understanding of the Three Seas region seen from the political, economic and security perspective. The project aims at exchanging ideas, research and publications on the region’s potential and challenges.

Members

The Baltic Security Foundation (Latvia)

The BSF promotes the security and defense of the Baltic Sea region. It gathers security experts from the region and beyond, provides a platform for discussion and research, promotes solutions that lead to stronger regional security in the military and other areas.

The Institute for Politics and Society (Czech Republic)

The Institute analyses important economic, political, and social areas that affect today’s society. The mission of the Institute is to cultivate the Czech political and public sphere through professional and open discussion.

Nézöpont Institute (Hungary)

The Institute aims at improving Hungarian public life and public discourse by providing real data, facts and opinions based on those. Its primary focus points are Hungarian youth, media policy and Central European cooperation.

The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (Austria)

The wiiw is one of the principal centres for research on Central, East and Southeast Europe with 50 years of experience. Over the years, the Institute has broadened its expertise, increasing its regional coverage – to European integration, the countries of Wider Europe and selected issues of the global economy.

The International Institute for Peace (Austria)

The Institute strives to address the most topical issues of the day and promote dialogue, public engagement, and a common understanding to ensure a holistic approach to conflict resolution and a durable peace. The IIP functions as a platform to promote peace and non-violent conflict resolution across the world.

The Institute for Regional and International Studies (Bulgaria)

The IRIS initiates, develops and implements civic strategies for democratic politics at the national, regional and international level. The Institute promotes the values of democracy, civil society, freedom and respect for law and assists the process of deepening Bulgarian integration in NATO and the EU.

The European Institute of Romania

EIR is a public institution whose mission is to provide expertise in the field of European Affairs to the public administration, the business community, the social partners and the civil society. EIR’s activity is focused on four key domains: research, training, communication, translation of the EHRC case-law.

The Institute of New Europe (Poland)

The Institute is an advisory and analytical non-governmental organisation active in the fields of international politics, international security and economics. The Institute supports policy-makers by providing them with expert opinions, as well as creating a platform for academics, publicists, and commentators to exchange ideas.

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Latest publications

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  • Polish-Czech Forum 2023: Czech Foreign Policy. Interview with Šárka Shoup [Part 2]
    by Michał Banasiak
    September 19, 2023
  • Outcomes of the 2023 Bucharest Three Seas Initiative Summit
    by Julita Wilczek
    September 13, 2023
  • Czech-Polish Forum 2023: Challenges and Perspectives of Polish-Czech Cooperation discussed by Karel Sál [Part 1]
    by Michał Banasiak
    September 12, 2023

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Financed with funds from the National Freedom Institute - Center for Civil Society Development under the Governmental Civil Society Organisations Development Programme for 2018-2030.

Sfinansowano ze środków Narodowego Instytutu Wolności – Centrum Rozwoju Społeczeństwa Obywatelskiego w ramach Rządowego Programu Rozwoju Organizacji Obywatelskich na lata 2018-2030.



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